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1 // boost\math\distributions\geometric.hpp
2
3 // Copyright John Maddock 2010.
4 // Copyright Paul A. Bristow 2010.
5
6 // Use, modification and distribution are subject to the
7 // Boost Software License, Version 1.0.
8 // (See accompanying file LICENSE_1_0.txt
9 // or copy at http://www.boost.org/LICENSE_1_0.txt)
10
11 // geometric distribution is a discrete probability distribution.
12 // It expresses the probability distribution of the number (k) of
13 // events, occurrences, failures or arrivals before the first success.
14 // supported on the set {0, 1, 2, 3...}
15
16 // Note that the set includes zero (unlike some definitions that start at one).
17
18 // The random variate k is the number of events, occurrences or arrivals.
19 // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
20 // If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
21
22 // Note that the geometric distribution
23 // (like others including the binomial, geometric & Bernoulli)
24 // is strictly defined as a discrete function:
25 // only integral values of k are envisaged.
26 // However because the method of calculation uses a continuous gamma function,
27 // it is convenient to treat it as if a continous function,
28 // and permit non-integral values of k.
29 // To enforce the strict mathematical model, users should use floor or ceil functions
30 // on k outside this function to ensure that k is integral.
31
32 // See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/geometric_distribution
33 // http://documents.wolfram.com/v5/Add-onsLinks/StandardPackages/Statistics/DiscreteDistributions.html
34 // http://mathworld.wolfram.com/GeometricDistribution.html
35
36 #ifndef BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_GEOMETRIC_HPP
37 #define BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_GEOMETRIC_HPP
38
39 #include <boost/math/distributions/fwd.hpp>
40 #include <boost/math/special_functions/beta.hpp> // for ibeta(a, b, x) == Ix(a, b).
41 #include <boost/math/distributions/complement.hpp> // complement.
42 #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/common_error_handling.hpp> // error checks domain_error & logic_error.
43 #include <boost/math/special_functions/fpclassify.hpp> // isnan.
44 #include <boost/math/tools/roots.hpp> // for root finding.
45 #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/inv_discrete_quantile.hpp>
46
47 #include <boost/type_traits/is_floating_point.hpp>
48 #include <boost/type_traits/is_integral.hpp>
49 #include <boost/type_traits/is_same.hpp>
50 #include <boost/mpl/if.hpp>
51
52 #include <limits> // using std::numeric_limits;
53 #include <utility>
54
55 #if defined (BOOST_MSVC)
56 # pragma warning(push)
57 // This believed not now necessary, so commented out.
58 //# pragma warning(disable: 4702) // unreachable code.
59 // in domain_error_imp in error_handling.
60 #endif
61
62 namespace boost
63 {
64 namespace math
65 {
66 namespace geometric_detail
67 {
68 // Common error checking routines for geometric distribution function:
69 template <class RealType, class Policy>
70 inline bool check_success_fraction(const char* function, const RealType& p, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
71 {
72 if( !(boost::math::isfinite)(p) || (p < 0) || (p > 1) )
73 {
74 *result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
75 function,
76 "Success fraction argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 and <= 1 !", p, pol);
77 return false;
78 }
79 return true;
80 }
81
82 template <class RealType, class Policy>
83 inline bool check_dist(const char* function, const RealType& p, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
84 {
85 return check_success_fraction(function, p, result, pol);
86 }
87
88 template <class RealType, class Policy>
89 inline bool check_dist_and_k(const char* function, const RealType& p, RealType k, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
90 {
91 if(check_dist(function, p, result, pol) == false)
92 {
93 return false;
94 }
95 if( !(boost::math::isfinite)(k) || (k < 0) )
96 { // Check k failures.
97 *result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
98 function,
99 "Number of failures argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 !", k, pol);
100 return false;
101 }
102 return true;
103 } // Check_dist_and_k
104
105 template <class RealType, class Policy>
106 inline bool check_dist_and_prob(const char* function, RealType p, RealType prob, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
107 {
108 if((check_dist(function, p, result, pol) && detail::check_probability(function, prob, result, pol)) == false)
109 {
110 return false;
111 }
112 return true;
113 } // check_dist_and_prob
114 } // namespace geometric_detail
115
116 template <class RealType = double, class Policy = policies::policy<> >
117 class geometric_distribution
118 {
119 public:
120 typedef RealType value_type;
121 typedef Policy policy_type;
122
123 geometric_distribution(RealType p) : m_p(p)
124 { // Constructor stores success_fraction p.
125 RealType result;
126 geometric_detail::check_dist(
127 "geometric_distribution<%1%>::geometric_distribution",
128 m_p, // Check success_fraction 0 <= p <= 1.
129 &result, Policy());
130 } // geometric_distribution constructor.
131
132 // Private data getter class member functions.
133 RealType success_fraction() const
134 { // Probability of success as fraction in range 0 to 1.
135 return m_p;
136 }
137 RealType successes() const
138 { // Total number of successes r = 1 (for compatibility with negative binomial?).
139 return 1;
140 }
141
142 // Parameter estimation.
143 // (These are copies of negative_binomial distribution with successes = 1).
144 static RealType find_lower_bound_on_p(
145 RealType trials,
146 RealType alpha) // alpha 0.05 equivalent to 95% for one-sided test.
147 {
148 static const char* function = "boost::math::geometric<%1%>::find_lower_bound_on_p";
149 RealType result = 0; // of error checks.
150 RealType successes = 1;
151 RealType failures = trials - successes;
152 if(false == detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy())
153 && geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
154 function, RealType(0), failures, &result, Policy()))
155 {
156 return result;
157 }
158 // Use complement ibeta_inv function for lower bound.
159 // This is adapted from the corresponding binomial formula
160 // here: http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section2/prc241.htm
161 // This is a Clopper-Pearson interval, and may be overly conservative,
162 // see also "A Simple Improved Inferential Method for Some
163 // Discrete Distributions" Yong CAI and K. KRISHNAMOORTHY
164 // http://www.ucs.louisiana.edu/~kxk4695/Discrete_new.pdf
165 //
166 return ibeta_inv(successes, failures + 1, alpha, static_cast<RealType*>(0), Policy());
167 } // find_lower_bound_on_p
168
169 static RealType find_upper_bound_on_p(
170 RealType trials,
171 RealType alpha) // alpha 0.05 equivalent to 95% for one-sided test.
172 {
173 static const char* function = "boost::math::geometric<%1%>::find_upper_bound_on_p";
174 RealType result = 0; // of error checks.
175 RealType successes = 1;
176 RealType failures = trials - successes;
177 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
178 function, RealType(0), failures, &result, Policy())
179 && detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy()))
180 {
181 return result;
182 }
183 if(failures == 0)
184 {
185 return 1;
186 }// Use complement ibetac_inv function for upper bound.
187 // Note adjusted failures value: *not* failures+1 as usual.
188 // This is adapted from the corresponding binomial formula
189 // here: http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section2/prc241.htm
190 // This is a Clopper-Pearson interval, and may be overly conservative,
191 // see also "A Simple Improved Inferential Method for Some
192 // Discrete Distributions" Yong CAI and K. Krishnamoorthy
193 // http://www.ucs.louisiana.edu/~kxk4695/Discrete_new.pdf
194 //
195 return ibetac_inv(successes, failures, alpha, static_cast<RealType*>(0), Policy());
196 } // find_upper_bound_on_p
197
198 // Estimate number of trials :
199 // "How many trials do I need to be P% sure of seeing k or fewer failures?"
200
201 static RealType find_minimum_number_of_trials(
202 RealType k, // number of failures (k >= 0).
203 RealType p, // success fraction 0 <= p <= 1.
204 RealType alpha) // risk level threshold 0 <= alpha <= 1.
205 {
206 static const char* function = "boost::math::geometric<%1%>::find_minimum_number_of_trials";
207 // Error checks:
208 RealType result = 0;
209 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
210 function, p, k, &result, Policy())
211 && detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy()))
212 {
213 return result;
214 }
215 result = ibeta_inva(k + 1, p, alpha, Policy()); // returns n - k
216 return result + k;
217 } // RealType find_number_of_failures
218
219 static RealType find_maximum_number_of_trials(
220 RealType k, // number of failures (k >= 0).
221 RealType p, // success fraction 0 <= p <= 1.
222 RealType alpha) // risk level threshold 0 <= alpha <= 1.
223 {
224 static const char* function = "boost::math::geometric<%1%>::find_maximum_number_of_trials";
225 // Error checks:
226 RealType result = 0;
227 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
228 function, p, k, &result, Policy())
229 && detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy()))
230 {
231 return result;
232 }
233 result = ibetac_inva(k + 1, p, alpha, Policy()); // returns n - k
234 return result + k;
235 } // RealType find_number_of_trials complemented
236
237 private:
238 //RealType m_r; // successes fixed at unity.
239 RealType m_p; // success_fraction
240 }; // template <class RealType, class Policy> class geometric_distribution
241
242 typedef geometric_distribution<double> geometric; // Reserved name of type double.
243
244 template <class RealType, class Policy>
245 inline const std::pair<RealType, RealType> range(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& /* dist */)
246 { // Range of permissible values for random variable k.
247 using boost::math::tools::max_value;
248 return std::pair<RealType, RealType>(static_cast<RealType>(0), max_value<RealType>()); // max_integer?
249 }
250
251 template <class RealType, class Policy>
252 inline const std::pair<RealType, RealType> support(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& /* dist */)
253 { // Range of supported values for random variable k.
254 // This is range where cdf rises from 0 to 1, and outside it, the pdf is zero.
255 using boost::math::tools::max_value;
256 return std::pair<RealType, RealType>(static_cast<RealType>(0), max_value<RealType>()); // max_integer?
257 }
258
259 template <class RealType, class Policy>
260 inline RealType mean(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
261 { // Mean of geometric distribution = (1-p)/p.
262 return (1 - dist.success_fraction() ) / dist.success_fraction();
263 } // mean
264
265 // median implemented via quantile(half) in derived accessors.
266
267 template <class RealType, class Policy>
268 inline RealType mode(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>&)
269 { // Mode of geometric distribution = zero.
270 BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
271 return 0;
272 } // mode
273
274 template <class RealType, class Policy>
275 inline RealType variance(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
276 { // Variance of Binomial distribution = (1-p) / p^2.
277 return (1 - dist.success_fraction())
278 / (dist.success_fraction() * dist.success_fraction());
279 } // variance
280
281 template <class RealType, class Policy>
282 inline RealType skewness(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
283 { // skewness of geometric distribution = 2-p / (sqrt(r(1-p))
284 BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
285 RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
286 return (2 - p) / sqrt(1 - p);
287 } // skewness
288
289 template <class RealType, class Policy>
290 inline RealType kurtosis(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
291 { // kurtosis of geometric distribution
292 // http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/geometric is kurtosis_excess so add 3
293 RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
294 return 3 + (p*p - 6*p + 6) / (1 - p);
295 } // kurtosis
296
297 template <class RealType, class Policy>
298 inline RealType kurtosis_excess(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
299 { // kurtosis excess of geometric distribution
300 // http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Kurtosis.html table of kurtosis_excess
301 RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
302 return (p*p - 6*p + 6) / (1 - p);
303 } // kurtosis_excess
304
305 // RealType standard_deviation(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
306 // standard_deviation provided by derived accessors.
307 // RealType hazard(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
308 // hazard of geometric distribution provided by derived accessors.
309 // RealType chf(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
310 // chf of geometric distribution provided by derived accessors.
311
312 template <class RealType, class Policy>
313 inline RealType pdf(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& k)
314 { // Probability Density/Mass Function.
315 BOOST_FPU_EXCEPTION_GUARD
316 BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // For ADL of math functions.
317 static const char* function = "boost::math::pdf(const geometric_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
318
319 RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
320 RealType result = 0;
321 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
322 function,
323 p,
324 k,
325 &result, Policy()))
326 {
327 return result;
328 }
329 if (k == 0)
330 {
331 return p; // success_fraction
332 }
333 RealType q = 1 - p; // Inaccurate for small p?
334 // So try to avoid inaccuracy for large or small p.
335 // but has little effect > last significant bit.
336 //cout << "p * pow(q, k) " << result << endl; // seems best whatever p
337 //cout << "exp(p * k * log1p(-p)) " << p * exp(k * log1p(-p)) << endl;
338 //if (p < 0.5)
339 //{
340 // result = p * pow(q, k);
341 //}
342 //else
343 //{
344 // result = p * exp(k * log1p(-p));
345 //}
346 result = p * pow(q, k);
347 return result;
348 } // geometric_pdf
349
350 template <class RealType, class Policy>
351 inline RealType cdf(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& k)
352 { // Cumulative Distribution Function of geometric.
353 static const char* function = "boost::math::cdf(const geometric_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
354
355 // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
356 // If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
357 RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
358 // Error check:
359 RealType result = 0;
360 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
361 function,
362 p,
363 k,
364 &result, Policy()))
365 {
366 return result;
367 }
368 if(k == 0)
369 {
370 return p; // success_fraction
371 }
372 //RealType q = 1 - p; // Bad for small p
373 //RealType probability = 1 - std::pow(q, k+1);
374
375 RealType z = boost::math::log1p(-p, Policy()) * (k + 1);
376 RealType probability = -boost::math::expm1(z, Policy());
377
378 return probability;
379 } // cdf Cumulative Distribution Function geometric.
380
381 template <class RealType, class Policy>
382 inline RealType cdf(const complemented2_type<geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>, RealType>& c)
383 { // Complemented Cumulative Distribution Function geometric.
384 BOOST_MATH_STD_USING
385 static const char* function = "boost::math::cdf(const geometric_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
386 // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
387 // If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
388 RealType const& k = c.param;
389 geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy> const& dist = c.dist;
390 RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
391 // Error check:
392 RealType result = 0;
393 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_k(
394 function,
395 p,
396 k,
397 &result, Policy()))
398 {
399 return result;
400 }
401 RealType z = boost::math::log1p(-p, Policy()) * (k+1);
402 RealType probability = exp(z);
403 return probability;
404 } // cdf Complemented Cumulative Distribution Function geometric.
405
406 template <class RealType, class Policy>
407 inline RealType quantile(const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& x)
408 { // Quantile, percentile/100 or Percent Point geometric function.
409 // Return the number of expected failures k for a given probability p.
410
411 // Inverse cumulative Distribution Function or Quantile (percentile / 100) of geometric Probability.
412 // k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
413
414 static const char* function = "boost::math::quantile(const geometric_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
415 BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
416
417 RealType success_fraction = dist.success_fraction();
418 // Check dist and x.
419 RealType result = 0;
420 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_prob
421 (function, success_fraction, x, &result, Policy()))
422 {
423 return result;
424 }
425
426 // Special cases.
427 if (x == 1)
428 { // Would need +infinity failures for total confidence.
429 result = policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(
430 function,
431 "Probability argument is 1, which implies infinite failures !", Policy());
432 return result;
433 // usually means return +std::numeric_limits<RealType>::infinity();
434 // unless #define BOOST_MATH_THROW_ON_OVERFLOW_ERROR
435 }
436 if (x == 0)
437 { // No failures are expected if P = 0.
438 return 0; // Total trials will be just dist.successes.
439 }
440 // if (P <= pow(dist.success_fraction(), 1))
441 if (x <= success_fraction)
442 { // p <= pdf(dist, 0) == cdf(dist, 0)
443 return 0;
444 }
445 if (x == 1)
446 {
447 return 0;
448 }
449
450 // log(1-x) /log(1-success_fraction) -1; but use log1p in case success_fraction is small
451 result = boost::math::log1p(-x, Policy()) / boost::math::log1p(-success_fraction, Policy()) - 1;
452 // Subtract a few epsilons here too?
453 // to make sure it doesn't slip over, so ceil would be one too many.
454 return result;
455 } // RealType quantile(const geometric_distribution dist, p)
456
457 template <class RealType, class Policy>
458 inline RealType quantile(const complemented2_type<geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>, RealType>& c)
459 { // Quantile or Percent Point Binomial function.
460 // Return the number of expected failures k for a given
461 // complement of the probability Q = 1 - P.
462 static const char* function = "boost::math::quantile(const geometric_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
463 BOOST_MATH_STD_USING
464 // Error checks:
465 RealType x = c.param;
466 const geometric_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist = c.dist;
467 RealType success_fraction = dist.success_fraction();
468 RealType result = 0;
469 if(false == geometric_detail::check_dist_and_prob(
470 function,
471 success_fraction,
472 x,
473 &result, Policy()))
474 {
475 return result;
476 }
477
478 // Special cases:
479 if(x == 1)
480 { // There may actually be no answer to this question,
481 // since the probability of zero failures may be non-zero,
482 return 0; // but zero is the best we can do:
483 }
484 if (-x <= boost::math::powm1(dist.success_fraction(), dist.successes(), Policy()))
485 { // q <= cdf(complement(dist, 0)) == pdf(dist, 0)
486 return 0; //
487 }
488 if(x == 0)
489 { // Probability 1 - Q == 1 so infinite failures to achieve certainty.
490 // Would need +infinity failures for total confidence.
491 result = policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(
492 function,
493 "Probability argument complement is 0, which implies infinite failures !", Policy());
494 return result;
495 // usually means return +std::numeric_limits<RealType>::infinity();
496 // unless #define BOOST_MATH_THROW_ON_OVERFLOW_ERROR
497 }
498 // log(x) /log(1-success_fraction) -1; but use log1p in case success_fraction is small
499 result = log(x) / boost::math::log1p(-success_fraction, Policy()) - 1;
500 return result;
501
502 } // quantile complement
503
504 } // namespace math
505 } // namespace boost
506
507 // This include must be at the end, *after* the accessors
508 // for this distribution have been defined, in order to
509 // keep compilers that support two-phase lookup happy.
510 #include <boost/math/distributions/detail/derived_accessors.hpp>
511
512 #if defined (BOOST_MSVC)
513 # pragma warning(pop)
514 #endif
515
516 #endif // BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_GEOMETRIC_HPP